湖北农业科学 ›› 2023, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (9): 209-213.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2023.09.036

• 经济·管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于ELES模型的陕西省农村居民消费结构分析

王奕   

  1. 安康学院经济与管理学院,陕西 安康 725000
  • 收稿日期:2023-05-24 出版日期:2023-09-25 发布日期:2023-10-24
  • 作者简介:王 奕(1986-),女,山东枣庄人,讲师,硕士,主要从事区域经济研究,(电话)13571435892(电子信箱)13571435892@163.com。
  • 基金资助:
    陕西省教育厅2022年度重点科研计划项目(22JZ009)

Analysis of consumption structure of rural residents in Shaanxi Province based on the ELES model

WANG Yi   

  1. School of Economics and Management, Ankang University, Ankang 725000, Shaanxi, China
  • Received:2023-05-24 Online:2023-09-25 Published:2023-10-24

摘要: 探讨了2012—2021年陕西省农村居民八类消费项目的人均消费支出与人均可支配收入之间的关系,并运用扩展线性支出(ELES)模型分析陕西省农村居民的边际消费倾向、需求收入弹性和需求价格弹性。结果表明,八类消费项目支出均与可支配收入之间存在着显著的正向相关关系,这表明陕西省农村消费市场具有巨大的发展潜力,可以为当地经济发展带来更多的可能性。经过多年的发展,农村居民的消费结构已经发生了显著的改变,食品消费和居住消费仍然是农村居民消费重点,但所占比重逐年下降,新兴消费模式正持续推动消费结构不断优化升级。交通通信消费和医疗保健消费在陕西省农村居民中具有巨大的消费潜力,其边际消费倾向和需求收入弹性也明确证实了这两项支出为消费热点。最后从提高农村居民人均可支配收入、强化农村社会保障体系、完善农村基础设施建设等方面提出了优化陕西省农村居民消费结构的相关对策及建议。

关键词: 农村居民, 消费结构, ELES模型, 陕西省

Abstract: The relationship between per capita consumption expenditure of eight consumption items and per capita disposable income among rural residents in Shaanxi Province from 2012 to 2021 was explored. The Extended Linear Expenditure System (ELES) model was used to analyze the marginal consumption propensity, demand income elasticity, and demand price elasticity of rural residents in Shaanxi Province. The results showed that there was a significant positive correlation between the expenditure on the eight consumption items and disposable income, indicating a huge development potential for the rural consumption market in Shaanxi Province and more possibilities for local economic development. After years of development, the consumption structure of rural residents had changed significantly. Food and housing consumption were still the focus of rural residents’ consumption, but their proportion had been declining year by year, and emerging consumption patterns continued to promote the optimization and upgrading of consumption structure. The transportation and communication consumption and medical and healthcare consumption had huge consumption potential among rural residents in Shaanxi Province. Their marginal consumption propensity and demand income elasticity also confirmed these two expenditures as consumption hotspots. Finally, relevant strategies and suggestions were proposed to optimize the consumption structure of rural residents in Shaanxi Province from aspects of improving rural residents’ disposable income, strengthening the rural social security system, and improving rural infrastructure construction.

Key words: rural residents, consumption structure, ELES model, Shaanxi Province

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