湖北农业科学 ›› 2023, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (7): 190-196.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2023.07.032

• 经济·管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

黄河流域旅游产业-人口城镇化-区域经济耦合协调及空间溢出效应研究

吴小阳   

  1. 中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,武汉 430078
  • 收稿日期:2021-12-27 出版日期:2023-07-25 发布日期:2023-08-15
  • 作者简介:吴小阳(1998-),女,湖南岳阳人,在读硕士研究生,研究方向为人口经济和区域经济,(电话)13469274126(电子信箱)2631770486@qq.com。

Research on the coupling coordination and spatial spillover effect of tourism industry-population urbanization-regional economy in the Yellow River Basin

WU Xiao-yang   

  1. School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430078,China
  • Received:2021-12-27 Online:2023-07-25 Published:2023-08-15

摘要: 基于耦合协调度模型、空间自相关模型及面板数据空间杜宾模型对黄河流域9省(区)2005—2019年旅游产业、人口城镇化和区域经济三系统的耦合协调水平及其时空分异格局进行分析。结果表明,2005—2019年,黄河流域旅游产业、人口城镇化和区域经济三大系统的综合发展水平总体上不断上升,耦合协调度呈波动增长趋势;三系统耦合协调度存在空间正相关性,其中甘肃省和河南省分别呈“低-低”和“高-高”的聚集模式。空间杜宾模型结果表明,区域经济和人口城镇化子系统呈现显著的正向溢出效应,且相邻省份的正向影响大于本省域内的影响。基于此,为促进黄河流域形成系统、全面、协调的总体发展格局提出相应的对策建议。

关键词: 黄河流域, 旅游产业, 人口城镇化, 区域经济, 耦合协调, 空间溢出效应

Abstract: Based on the coupling coordination degree model, spatial autocorrelation model and panel data spatial Durbin model, the coupling coordination level and spatial-temporal differentiation pattern of tourism industry, population urbanization and regional economy were analyzed in the nine provinces(regions) of the Yellow River Basin from 2005 to 2019. The results showed that from 2005 to 2019, the comprehensive development level of the tourism industry, population urbanization and regional economy systems in the Yellow River Basin had been improving gradually, and the coupling coordination degree showed a fluctuating growth trend; there was a spatial positive correlation between the three system coupling coordination degrees, among which Gansu Province and Henan Province showed a “low-low” and “high-high” agglomeration mode, respectively. The results of spatial Durbin model showed that the subsystem of regional economy and urbanization presented a significant positive spillover effect, and the positive impacts of neighboring provinces were greater than those within the province. Based on this, corresponding suggestions were put forward to promote the formation of a systematic, comprehensive and coordinated overall development pattern in the Yellow River Basin.

Key words: The Yellow River Basin, tourism industry, population urbanization, regional economy, coupling coordination, spatial spillover effect

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