关键词: “一带一路”, 中国与中亚五国, 农产品贸易, 潜在优势, 贸易结合度指数

Abstract: The trade integration index（TII） analysis method was used to analyze the potential advantages of agricultural trade between China and five Central Asian countries based on the trade import and export data between China and five Central Asian countries from 2010 to 2019. The results showed that the trade potential advantages between China and the five Central Asian countries were in descending order： China-Kyrgyzstan, China-Kazakhstan, China-Uzbekistan, China-Tajikistan and China-Turkmenistan. China-Kyrgyzstan, China-Kazakhstan, China-Uzbekistan and China-Tajikistan had close trade links with large trade potential advantages, while China-Turkmenistan had the loosest trade links with small trade potential advantages. Compared with the other four Central Asian countries, China-Kyrgyzstan showed greater potential advantages in animal products, plant products and agricultural products. China-Kazakhstan had great trade potential advantages in plant products and agricultural products. In the four categories of trade of agricultural products, China-Kyrgyzstan had shown great trade potential advantages; China-Tajikistan had great potential advantages in the trade of plant products, animal fat products and animal products. China-Turkmenistan showed great potential advantages in the trade of plant products. China-Uzbekistan showed great potential advantages in the trade of plant products and animal oil products.

Key words: “the Belt and Road Initiative”, China and five Central Asian countries, agricultural trade, potential advantages, trade intensity index