湖北农业科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 61 ›› Issue (14): 31-36.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2022.14.006

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

近54年贵州省洪涝灾害时空特征及成因分析

张艳梅1,2, 谷小平2,3, 顾天红1, 彭兴德1, 吴古会1, 吴静4   

  1. 1.贵州省气象台,贵阳 550002;
    2.贵州省山地气候与资源重点实验室,贵阳 550002;
    3.贵州省生态气象和卫星遥感中心,贵阳 550002;
    4.贵州省黔西南州气象局,贵州 兴义 562400
  • 收稿日期:2022-04-20 出版日期:2022-07-25 发布日期:2022-08-25
  • 通讯作者: 吴古会(1985-),女,高级工程师,主要从事天气预报预警工作,(电子信箱)19106289@qq.com。
  • 作者简介:张艳梅(1973-),女,贵州水城人,高级工程师,硕士,主要从事天气预报及气象灾害研究,(电话)18984853905(电子信箱)451968096@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    贵州省气象局科研开放基金项目(KF[2016]15); 贵州省科研业务项目(黔气科登[2021]10-09号)

Analysis on temporal and spatial characteristics and causes of flood disasters in Guizhou Province in recent 54 years

ZHANG Yan-mei1,2, GU Xiao-ping2,3, GU Tian-hong1, PENG Xing-de1, WU Gu-hui1, WU Jing4   

  1. 1. Guizhou Meteorological Observatory,Guiyang 550002,China;
    2. Guizhou Key Laboratory of Mountainous Climate and Resources, Guiyang 550002,China;
    3. Guizhou Ecological Meteorology and Satellite Remote Sensing Center,Guiyang 550002,China;
    4. Meteorological Bureau of Southwest Guizhou,Xingyi 562400,Guizhou,China
  • Received:2022-04-20 Online:2022-07-25 Published:2022-08-25

摘要: 利用1961—2014年贵州省84个气象站逐日降水资料以及NCAR/NCEP月平均再分析资料,对贵州省近54年洪涝灾害的时空特征及其环流成因进行分析。结果表明,贵州省洪涝空间分布差异明显,主要出现在该省的西部和南部地区。近54年来各级洪涝次数均呈增加趋势,20世纪60—80年代洪涝出现频率偏少,20世纪90年代和21世纪以来洪涝发生次数明显增多。洪涝主要存在22、12、8年的周期振荡。轻度洪涝年乌拉尔山高压脊偏强,西太平洋副热带高压偏东偏弱,东亚大槽较弱,不利于冷空气南下,且高层辐合低层辐散使得在垂直场上表现为下沉运动,降水偏少;重度洪涝年中高纬度为两槽一脊形势,西太平洋副热带高压偏西偏强,有利于西南暖湿气流输送,东亚大槽偏强,有利于大气经向交换,低层辐合高层辐散辐合上升运动加强,造成洪涝灾害。

关键词: 洪涝灾害, 时空分布, 环流特征, 贵州省

Abstract: Based on the daily precipitation data of 84 meteorological stations from 1961 to 2014 in Guizhou, and the monthly average reanalysis data from NCAR/NCEP, the temporal and spatial characteristics and circulation characteristics of flood disasters in recent 54 years in Guizhou Province were analyzed. The results showed that the spatial distribution of flood in Guizhou Province was significantly different, and it mainly occurred in the west and south of Guizhou Province. In the last 54 years, the number of floods at all levels had shown an increasing trend. The frequency of floods from the 1960s to the 1980s was relatively lower, and the number of floods had increased significantly since the 1990s and the 21st century. There were mainly periodic oscillations of 22, 12 and 8 years in flood. In mild flood years, the Ural mountain high ridge was stronger, the Western Pacific subtropical high was weaker to the east, and the East Asian trough was weaker, which was not conducive to the southward movement of cold air. In addition, the convergence of the upper layer and the divergence of the lower layer made it show sinking movement in the vertical field and less precipitation; in severe flood years, there were two troughs and one ridge. The subtropical high in the Western Pacific was stronger in the west, which was conducive to the flow transmission of warm and humid gas in the southwest. The large trough in East Asia was stronger, which was conducive to the meridional exchange of the atmosphere, the convergence of the lower layer and the strengthening of the upward movement of the divergence and convergence of the upper layer, resulting in flood disasters.

Key words: flood disasters, temporal and spatial distribution, circulation characteristics, Guizhou Province

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