关键词: 农民就地城市化, 城乡经济社会二元结构, 水平测度, 地理加权回归（GWR）, 影响因素

Abstract: Under the background of urban and rural economic and social dual structure, China’s new urbanization strategic center has gradually transformed into population urbanization, and some rural areas have begun to implement local urbanization. By establishing the measurement system of farmers’ local urbanization, the development level of farmers’ local urbanization in Z province in 2010 and 2015 were measured, and the influencing factors analysis model of farmers’ local urbanization was constructed by using the geographically weighted regression method, and the effect differences of the impact of transportation location, public services and industrial economy on farmers’ local urbanization were discussed. The results showed that the local urbanization of farmers in Z province was mainly affected by the convenience of transportation and innovation ability in 2010, and it was mainly affected by road accessibility, medical care and innovation ability in 2015. The influence intensity of each factor was different in different areas of Z province, the northern area was mainly influenced by innovation ability, road accessibility and medical treatment, the eastern area was mainly influenced by innovation ability and transportation convenience, and the southern and western areas were mainly influenced by innovation ability. Finally, some relevant policy suggestions of promoting farmers’ local urbanization were put forward, in order to provide theoretical reference for the development of local urbanization of Chinese farmers.

Key words: farmers’ local urbanization;, urban and rural economic and social dual structure, level measurement, geographically weighted regression（GWR）, influencing factors