湖北农业科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 60 ›› Issue (23): 57-61.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2021.23.012

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

东北三省的CO2排放影响因素分析

陈雯雯, 朱梦婷   

  1. 河海大学商学院,江苏 常州 213000
  • 收稿日期:2020-10-23 出版日期:2021-12-10 发布日期:2021-12-21
  • 作者简介:陈雯雯(2000-),女,浙江温州人,在读本科生,(电话)18324268946(电子信箱)1450079114@qq.com。

Analysis of driving factors of CO2 emissions in three provinces of northeast China

CHEN Wen-wen, ZHU Meng-ting   

  1. School of business,Hohai University,Changzhou 213000,Jiangsu,China
  • Received:2020-10-23 Online:2021-12-10 Published:2021-12-21

摘要: 基于Kaya等式和LMDI分解法,分析2000—2017年东北三省CO2排放的影响因素。结果表明,经济发展水平效应是2000—2012年碳排放增长的主要因素,2012年后作用明显减弱;能源强度效应对CO2排放有抑制作用;能源结构效应对CO2排放总增量既有正向也有负向影响;人口规模效应对CO2排放总增量的影响在2012年之后由微弱的促进作用转为微弱的抑制作用。结合分析结果,对东北三省CO2排放管理提出了政策建议。

关键词: CO2排放, 影响因素, LMDI分解法, 东北三省

Abstract: Based on Kaya identity and LMDI method,the influencing factors of CO2 emissions in three provinces of northeast China from 2000 to 2017 were analyzed. The results showed that,the economic development effect was the main factor to promote the growth of carbon emissions from 2000 to 2012, and the effect was obviously weakened after 2012; The energy intensity effect had a inhibitory effect on CO2 emissions; The energy structure effect had both positive and negative effects on the increase of CO2 emissions; The impact of population scale effect on CO2 emissions had changed from weak promoting effect to weak inhibition effect after 2012. Combined with the analysis results, some policy suggestions for the management of CO2 emission were put forward.

Key words: CO2 emission, driving factors, LMDI method, three provinces of northeast China

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