湖北农业科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 60 ›› Issue (13): 170-175.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2021.13.034

• 经济·管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

山东省农业科技进步与农民收入增长关系的实证分析

路程1, 李敬锁1, 彭兴贞2   

  1. 1.青岛农业大学管理学院,山东 青岛 266000;
    2.山东省平阴县农业农村局,山东 平阴 250400
  • 收稿日期:2021-02-01 出版日期:2021-07-10 发布日期:2021-07-26
  • 通讯作者: 李敬锁(1978-),男,山东滕州人,教授,博士,主要从事农业科技创新与评价方向研究,(电子信箱)lijingsuo@163.com。
  • 作者简介:路 程(1996-),女,山东临沂人,在读硕士研究生,研究方向为农业科技创新与评价,(电话)18562520305(电子信箱)1037881123@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    山东省重点研发计划课题(2019FW037); 山东省社会科学规划年度项目(20CGLJ05)

Empirical analysis on the relationship between agricultural science and technology progress and farmers' income growth in Shandong province

LU Cheng1, LI Jing-suo1, PENG Xing-zhen2   

  1. 1. Management College,Qingdao Agricultural University,Qingdao 266000,Shandong,China;
    2. Agriculture and Rural Affairs Bureau of Pingyin County,Shandong Province,Pingyin 250400,Shandong,China
  • Received:2021-02-01 Online:2021-07-10 Published:2021-07-26

摘要: 基于山东省1994—2018年的相关统计数据,在对农业科技进步率及贡献率测算的基础上,运用VAR模型实证分析山东省农业科技进步与农民收入增长之间的关系。结果表明,山东省农业科技进步从长期和短期来看均有利于促进农民增收,农民增收也能够加大对农业科技的各项投入,继而提升山东省农业科技水平,农民收入增长与农业科技进步互为Granger原因。最后,以农民收入增长为目的,提出改善农业科技创新体系以加速农业技术革新,强化农业科技推广系统以加速农业先进技术迅速转化为生产力,完善农业劳动力转移制度以间接增加农民收入,大力发展高质量农业以开拓更广阔的国际市场。

关键词: 农业科技进步, 农民收入增长, 影响, VAR模型, 山东省

Abstract: Based on the relative statistic data of Shandong province from 1994 to 2018, On the basis of measuring the progress rate and contribution rate of agricultural science and technology,VAR model was used to analyze the relationship between agricultural science and technology progress and farmers' income in Shandong province. The results show that in the long-term and short term, the Shandong province agricultural science and technology progress is conducive to promoting the farmers' income growth, the farmers' income growth can also increase investment in agricultural science and technology, and then promote the overall level of agricultural science and technology in Shandong province, farmers' income growth and agricultural science and technology progress mutually Granger reason. Finally, for the purpose of the farmers' income growth, it is proposed to improve the innovation system of agricultural science and technology to accelerate the innovation of agricultural technology, strengthen the extension system of agricultural science and technology to accelerate the rapid transformation of agricultural advanced technology into productive forces, perfect the transfer system of agricultural labor force to indirectly increase farmers' income, and vigorously develop high-quality agriculture to open up wider international market.

Key words: agricultural science and technology progress, farmers' income growth, influence, VAR model, Shandong province

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