关键词: 猪肉价格, 经济政策不确定性, 生猪疫情, 确定性因素分解, 对数多元回归模型

Abstract: On the basis of relevant research, this study focused on the comprehensive impact of economic policy uncertainty and swine fever on pork price, and made an empirical analysis on China’s pork price from 2009 to 2019 by using deterministic factor decomposition and logarithmic multiple regression model. The results showed that, China’s pork demand showing a seasonal cyclical change, which had a seasonal impact on pork price; the economic policy uncertainty and swine fever will increase the supply gap and impact on pork price.

Key words: pork price, economic policy uncertainty, swine fever, deterministic factor decomposition, logarithmic multiple regression model