湖北农业科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (18): 169-175.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2020.18.034

• 经济·管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

世界杂粮生产及贸易形势分析

李元鑫a, 曲佳佳b, 张蕙杰b, 胡向东a, 麻吉亮a   

  1. 中国农业科学院,a.农业经济与发展研究所; b.农业信息研究所,北京 100081
  • 收稿日期:2020-04-02 发布日期:2020-11-05
  • 通讯作者: 张蕙杰(1968-),女,湖北武汉人,研究员,博士,主要从事农经理论与政策研究,(电子信箱)zhanghuijie@caas.cn。
  • 作者简介:李元鑫(1992-),男,山东济南人,在读硕士研究生,研究方向为畜牧业经济,(电话)17800294034(电子信箱)readykingss@163.com;
  • 基金资助:
    国家食用豆产业技术体系(CARS-08-G21)

Analysis on sisutation of world minor grain production and trade

LI Yuan-xina, QU Jia-jiab, ZHANG Hui-jieb, HU Xiang-donga, MA Ji-lianga   

  1. a.Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development; b.Agricultural Information Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2020-04-02 Published:2020-11-05

摘要: 了解过去10年世界杂粮生产及贸易形势,对把控世界杂粮生产及贸易变动、研判未来杂粮生产及贸易格局至关重要。利用FAOSTAT数据库杂粮生产及贸易统计数据,分析近10年世界杂粮生产及贸易形势演变,总结世界杂粮生产及贸易形势变化特点。研究发现,过去10年世界杂粮单产水平提高,总产量不断增加,进出口贸易总量也呈上升趋势,但进出口贸易价格下降。世界杂粮单品种生产集中度和贸易集中度较高,杂粮主要生产品种和贸易品种预期不会发生大的变动,主要生产区和主要贸易区同样预期不会发生大的变动,但后者局部存在调整。禾木类杂粮和食用豆类杂粮及世界杂粮不同品种之间呈不同的生产特性和贸易特性。

关键词: 杂粮, 生产集中度, 贸易集中度

Abstract: Understanding the situation of world minor grain production and trade in the past 10 years was very important to control the changes of world minor grain production and trade, and to study and judge the future pattern of world minor grain production and trade.Based on the statistical data of world minor grain production and trade in FAOSTAT database, the evolution of world minor grain production and trade situation in recent 10 years was analyzed, and the characteristics of world minor grain production and trade situation were summarized. It was found that in the past 10 years, the world's grain yield per unit area has increased, the total output has been increasing, and the total import and export trade volume has also shown an upward trend, but the price of import and export trade has decreased. The production concentration and trade concentration of single variety of minor grain were relatively high in the world. Major production and trade varieties of minor grain were not expected to change greatly. Major production areas and major trade areas were also expected to have no major changes, but the latter was partially adjusted. There were different production characteristics and trade characteristics among different varieties of gramineous grains, edible legume grains and different varieties in the world.

Key words: minor grain, production concentration, trade concentration

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