湖北农业科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (13): 77-83.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2020.13.018

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

庆阳市城市内涝预报预警指标研究

张天峰1, 姜惠峰1, 张红芬1, 吴爱敏1, 张红妮1, 焦美玲1, 张雪姣2   

  1. 1.庆阳市气象局,甘肃 庆阳 745000;
    2.合水县气象局,甘肃 合水 745400
  • 收稿日期:2019-06-19 出版日期:2020-07-10 发布日期:2020-09-03
  • 作者简介:张天峰(1969-),男,甘肃庆阳人,高级工程师,主要从事气候分析及应用气象研究,(电话)0934-8213627(电子信箱)ztf_qy@139.com。
  • 基金资助:
    甘肃省气象局科研基金项目(GSMAMs2018-21); 庆阳市科研基金项目(QY2019-10)

Study on forecasting and early warning indicators of urban waterlogging in Qingyang

ZHANG Tian-feng1, JIANG Hui-feng1, ZHANG Hong-fen1, WU Ai-min1, ZHANG Hong-ni1, JIAO Mei-ling1, ZHANG Xue-jiao2   

  1. 1. Qingyang Meteorological Bureau, Qingyang 745000,Gansu,China;
    2. Heshui Meteorological Bureau, Heshui 745400,Gansu,China
  • Received:2019-06-19 Online:2020-07-10 Published:2020-09-03

摘要: 利用甘肃省庆阳市西峰国家基本气象站1937—2018年降水观测资料,结合庆阳城市内涝记载资料,采用统计强降水频率、95%、99%分位值强降水总量,计算年度降水集中度和集中期,编制暴雨强度公式,使用SWMM系统对城市排水管网进行模拟等方法,对庆阳市城市内涝灾害风险进行分析评估,确定庆阳市城市内涝降水阈值,作为城市内涝监测预警信息发布的标准。结果表明,降水极端性是造成庆阳市城市内涝的主要原因,极端降水一般集中在夏季,以7—8月居多。极端降水不仅表现在总量大小,而且表现在强度大小。在降水总量达30 mm以上时,当30 min降水量达15 mm时,易涝点容易出现积水,当30 min降水量达20 mm时,易涝点就可能形成灾害,当30 min降水量达30 mm时,易涝点灾害严重,当30 min降水量达40 mm时,易涝点灾害非常严重,并且降水总量越大,灾害越严重。SWMM模拟发现,内涝灾害不仅与降水强度和区域分布有关,而且其地形、管网及径流也是城市内涝致灾程度不同的重要原因。

关键词: 城市内涝, 极端降雨, 暴雨强度公式, SWMM模拟, 庆阳市

Abstract: Based on the precipitation observation data from 1937 to 2018 of the Xifeng National Basic Weather Station in Qingyang city and the waterlogging data recorded in the Qingyang city, the annual precipitation concentration and concentration period, as well as the formula of the intensity of torrential rain were calculated by counting the strong precipitation frequency and the 95%, 99% fractional values total precipitation. Combined with urban drainage network simulated using SWMM system, we aim to analyze and evaluate the risk of waterlogging in the city of Qingyang, and determine the threshold of urban precipitation in Qingyang city as a standard for the release of urban monitoring and warning information. The results show that extreme precipitation is the main cause of urban waterlogging in Qingyang city,which generally concentrates in summer, mostly in July to August. Two factors have positive relationships with extreme precipitation: Total precipitation and intensity. The greater the total precipitation and the heavier the intensity,the more serious of the urban waterlogging disaster. When the total precipitation reaches more than 30 mm,precipitation intensity becomes particularly important:when the precipitation reaches 15 mm in 30 minutes, waterlogging points are prone to water accumulation;When the precipitation reaches 20 mm in 30 minutes, the waterlogging point may have disasters;When the precipitation reaches 30 mm in 30 minutes, the waterlogging point is prone to serious disasters;When the precipitation reaches 40 mm in 30 minutes, the waterlogging point disaster will be very serious. By using SWMM system simulation, we found that waterlogging disaster is not only related to extreme precipitation and regional distribution, topography, pipe network and runoff are also important factors leading to urban waterlogging.

Key words: urban waterlogging, extreme precipitation, torrential rain intensity formula, SWMM simulation, Qingyang city

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