湖北农业科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (3): 58-66.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2020.03.012

• 资源·环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

2018年湖南省东北部两次强降雪过程对比分析

尹依雯, 蒋帅, 许丽丽, 昌立伟   

  1. 湖南省岳阳市气象局,湖南 岳阳 414000
  • 收稿日期:2019-05-28 发布日期:2020-05-11
  • 通讯作者: 蒋 帅,男,湖南岳阳人,工程师,主要从事短期天气预报业务,(电子信箱)364768116@qq.com。
  • 作者简介:尹依雯(1991-),女,江苏苏州人,工程师,硕士,主要从事气候变化研究,(电话)15895540592(电子信箱)364768116@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    湖南省气象局预报员专项(XQKJ19C008)

Comparative analysis of two strong snowstorms in the northeast of Hunan province in 2018

YIN Yi-wen, JIANG Shuai, XU Li-li, CHANG Li-wei   

  1. Yueyang Meteorological Service,Hunan Province,Yueyang 414000,Hunan,China
  • Received:2019-05-28 Published:2020-05-11

摘要: 利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和气象观测站资料,对湖南省2018年两次强降雪天气过程进行对比研究。结果表明,两次强降雪过程均在500 hPa“Ω”型环流形势下发生,但中低层环流形势差异明显。第一次过程(2018年1月24—31日)中低层存在切变线,水汽条件较好,冷空气从近地面层锲入,暖湿空气被迫抬升;第二次过程(2018年12月28日至2019年1月3日)降雪前850 hPa至地面已经形成强盛稳定的冷垫,暖湿气流沿冷垫爬升;强降雪落区位于水汽通量大值区轴线的左侧且与强辐合中心重叠,但是水汽条件差异较大。通过拉格朗日气块追踪方法发现造成两次强降雪天气过程水汽差异的主要原因是水汽的来源不同,第一次过程水汽主要来源于高压底部经黄海和东海变性增湿后回流的空气和阿拉伯海,第二次主要源于中南半岛源地和印度半岛源地。两次过程都存在假相当位温线的密集带,地面锋区维持在22°N附近。相比第一次过程而言,第二次过程锋面坡度高于第一次,暖湿空气沿冷垫爬升明显,有利于低层气旋性涡度增大,使得湿度、相对涡度、垂直运动等物理量在强降雪开始前12 h有明显向上延伸的特点,对预报具有先兆性指示意义。

关键词: 强降雪, 环流形势, 水汽, 假相当位温, 湖南省东北部

Abstract: Based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalyzed data and the conventional observational meteorological observing station data, two strong snowstorms in Hunan province in 2018 were comparatively analyzed. The results showed that both snowstorms were caused in "Ω" circulation situation at 500 hPa, but there was a significant difference in the middle-low atmosphere. The first process (January 24 to 31, 2018) had a shear line and a good vapor condition, and the warm and wet air were forced to climb, because the cold air wedged in from the near ground. In the second process (December 28, 2018 to January 3, 2019), a strong and stable cold pad had been formed before the snow, and the warm and wet air climbed along the pad at 850 hPa. The snowstorm areas were located in the left side of the large water vapor flux area and near the vapor flux divergence center. The main reason for the difference of water vapor is the different sources of water vapor by the Lagrange air parcel tracking method. The water vapor in the first process mainly came from humidified northerly backflow which through the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea from the bottom of the high pressure and the Arabian Sea, the second process was from Indo-China peninsula and India peninsula. The two processes both had pseudo-equivalent potential temperature intensive zone and the surface front zone near the 22° N. The slope of the second process was higher than that of the first process and the wet air climb obviously, which caused the low-level cyclonic vorticity increases, and the relative humidity, the relative vorticity and vertical movement extend upward significantly at 12 hours before the start of heavy snowstorm, which has precursory significance for the prediction.

Key words: strong snow storm, circulation situation, vapor, pseudo-equivalent potential temperature, northeast of Hunan province

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