湖北农业科学 ›› 2018, Vol. 57 ›› Issue (4): 126-129.doi: 10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2018.04.032

• 农业经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国水貂皮价格波动及影响因素研究

甘林针, 张立中   

  1. 北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京 100083
  • 收稿日期:2017-07-19 出版日期:2018-02-25 发布日期:2019-12-25
  • 通讯作者: 张立中(1964-),男,内蒙古赤峰人,教授,博士生导师,研究方向为农业经济理论与政策,(电子信箱)zzllzz777@163.com。
  • 作者简介:甘林针(1993-),女,重庆荣昌人,在读硕士研究生,研究方向为农业经济理论与政策,(电话)010-62337025(电子信箱)ggllzz33@163.com;
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金项目(11BJY097)

Research of Fluctuations and Influential Factors for Mink in China

GAN Lin-zhen, ZHANG Li-zhong   

  1. Economic Management Academy, Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China
  • Received:2017-07-19 Online:2018-02-25 Published:2019-12-25

摘要: 通过H-P滤波法分析中国水貂皮价格波动,表明中国水貂皮价格呈现波动频率高、振幅大;运用因子分析法对影响水貂皮价格的因素实证分析,表明皮革和毛皮产业固定投资、毛皮和人造毛皮及其制品进口额、高收入群体收入水平、人民币对美元汇率、毛皮和人造毛皮及其制品出口额与国内水貂皮价格的相关性较高,渔业产品生产价格指数和貉子皮价格的相关性次之。

关键词: 水貂皮价格, 价格波动, 毛皮动物, H-P滤波法, 因子分析法

Abstract: The price of mink in our country is characterized by high-frequency fluctuations and large amplitude according to the results analyzed by Hodrick-Prescott filter. Factor analysis method is used to make empirical analysis of the influence factors on the price of mink. The results show that there is a high correlation between domestic price of mink and factors like fixed investment in leather and fur industry, amounts of imports of fur and artificial fur and their products, income level of high-income group, RMB exchange rate against US dollar, amounts of exports of fur and artificial fur and their products, besides, producer price index of fishing products takes the second place.

Key words: price of mink, fluctuations of price, fur animals, Hodrick-prescott filter, factor analysis method

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